A Turn In Iraqi Events:- A Turn Of Iraq's Fate?
The heydays of the Bushmen are gone; well, if at all they had such days. A swift turn in the events in Iraq has turned the table of the USA and it?s allies up side down. The Shias and Sunnis of Iraq, the formers are the majority there while the supreme-rulers belonged to the latter, who quite recently were seen to be in a spurt of conflicts and skirmishes between them, are now hand-in-hand as ?Iraqis?, and giving the ?allied? armies a head-on fight and even the allied troops are on the retreat in some places. Bush, already discredited for the revelation of the fake ness of his ?charges? against the past Iraqi regime headed by Saddam for ?holding mass-killing weapons?, is again having really bad days just 6 months prior to the elections in the USA. And still worse is the chance for him to show that these recent events are handmade of some already disarrayed and isolated Iraqi militias and/or Al-Qaida infiltrators. Even the international bourgeois media are seeing a mass backing of the present revolt in Iraq, and some of them are even inclined to call it a mass revolt by the united Iraqis.
Protestors in Tokyo or other cities are not blaming the Muslim or Iraqi ?terrorists? for kidnapping their citizens, rather they are demanding immediate pull-off of their own country?s troops from Iraq, as far as the bourgeois print media say. And of course, just before some days hundreds-of-thousands of protestors all over the world ?celebrated? the first anniversary of the start of the US led war against Iraq demanding a total pull out of all foreign soldiers from the Iraqi soil and restoration of the sovereignty of Iraq. Plus, just after a year of pulling down the statue of Saddam, a big poster-picture of the Shia leader Al-Sadr now adorns a wall by the very same place! ? According to even an arch-neo-liberal newspaper report The imperialists who only yesterday have ruined this land of age-old civilisation, who were yesterday busy in dividing up their loots in Iraq, particularly including the oil fields, and also like benevolent queens distributing some tiny shares of their booties to their obedient knaves ? like the govt of India, are again growling and swearing against the insurgency, but obviously, this time, showing signs of jitteriness.
Notwithstanding, it is too early to predict the outcome of the present revolt. So many international and national factors are there to influence and affect the course of events in many different directions that it would be unwise to foretell whether Iraq will be this century?s Vietnam for the USA. And, well, the history of the last quarter or half century or so rather forbids us to forecast about the fate of Iraq hastily. What a very well known and widely respected historian named as ?The Short Twentieth Century? was rather so very l-o-n-g and eventful, and the last half or so was so difficultly c-u-r-v-y that even mathematicians would resist the temptation of projecting any equation whatsoever.
There are some salient and related points that one must take into consideration. Firstly, the history of Arab resistance and independence movements against the Imperialists [for the sake of generality we?ve included Iran also in our discussion, though, strictly speaking, Iran is not ?Arab?] have shown that due to weaknesses, and some blunders as well, of the International Communist Movement, and particularly of the Communist Parties in the Dominating countries, the tendency of the Liberation movements were, in general, towards Pan Islamism. But two more factors influenced that tilt positively and lets go onto them in the same breath ? Secondly, the failures of the middle-of-the-roaders, the Nasserites type of Arab Bourgeois leaders and movements [well, those failures were intrinsic to and necessary/natural outcome of such movements] showed the Arab people the hollowness of that path. And thirdly, the almost impossibility of holding out a prolonged movement for a small nation [or, part-nations created by the imperialist division of their spoil] also led to frustration in the one hand, and terrorism based militia moves [obviously with some mass backings, otherwise it would have been wiped out long ago] on the other. This holds true even for the Cold War period; the presence of the Soviet Military might in the international scenario did not and could not do anything otherwise than creating some small satellites for itself. And add to it the roles i.e. oppressive rules of the erstwhile feudal lords ? Emirs, Kings, etc. who by then had enough capitalist interests, particularly in the oil sector, and were, in general, stooges, or to say politely, partners of the Petroleum TNCs and Imperialist powers; which made life hellish difficult for the Arab people and swung them in favour of militant and honest and, well ? Spartan type of leaderships. From the Palestine Intefida to the rise of Ayatollah Khomeini ? perhaps the sentences above in this paragraph can make some senses regarding such historical phenomena. Lastly, the fall, the defeat, the debacle of the International Communist Movement, which became to some extent apparent in the 1980s and became very clear by 1991; it made the situation, internationally, very complex, e.g. we?ve seen East Timor, we?ve seen Haiti, and also the Sub Saharan and Central African problematic, we know the problems and limitations of Gaddafi, Arafat, etc, and also the endlessness of the Pan Islamic Militants? efforts, the Al-Qaida ?movement? (!) ? ? Is ?futility? the only and correct word to describe such pictures?! What else is the alternative for the Arab people towards their liberation?
Too much realists would perhaps smear, or sneer, but, nonetheless the only solution to the problem, in general, and here in particular about the fate of Iraq is ? the proletariat of that country, Iraq, have to organise themselves into a class-organisation of their own, into an independent, revolutionary proletarian movement, they should involve and influence all the toiling people of the country towards forming real revolutionary movement, struggle against foreign and their allies, the domestic ruling classes; and the international communist movement needs it rebuilding, re-awakening, resurgence to be able to effectively aid each and every national liberation struggle ? well, this may sound ?absurd?, ?impractical? at the very present moment, but sorry, any other way will lead to more futile [if taken a long view] actions, more agony, more Arab-blood shed, more frustration, ? ? and the cruel vicious circle. The miseries, agonies and groan of the Arab world, and the whole world are sending this message to the advanced elements of the proletariat world over.
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